Publications

A complete list of my peer-reviewed articles, working papers, and other publications in criminal justice, political behavior, and AI governance.

📚 Peer-Reviewed Articles

Public Opinion Quarterly · 2026

Holding Justice Accountable: Intensive vs. Extensive Margins in Prosecutor Elections

Dvir Yogev

Under which conditions do voters support progressive reform? Are voters willing to support politicians who are not tough on crime? Using data from the San Francisco DA recall and a national sample, I argue that there are political majorities in favor of reforming the intensity of the criminal legal system, not its extent. Voters support reducing outcomes' harshness but not limiting the scope of prosecuted behavior. Support for reducing intensity is wide and cuts across political attitudes, while support for reducing extensiveness is narrow.

🏆 UC Berkeley CSLS Graduate Student Paper Prize, 2023
Criminology · 2025

How do People React to Policy Reform? Group Cues and Persuasion in Criminal Justice

Dvir Yogev

Criminal justice policy reform is crucial for a nation grappling with public safety concerns and decades of mass incarceration. This study investigates factors shaping public attitudes toward criminal justice policy reform, focusing on dispositional racial attitudes and political/racial group cues. Using a conjoint design and follow-up survey experiment, I demonstrate that people's dispositions toward racial and political groups affect their preferences. Both people of color and white respondents follow cues from Black voters, with racial attitudes playing an important moderating role.

Law and Human Behavior · 2025

What Do People Want from Algorithms? Public Perceptions of Algorithms in Government

Dvir Yogev & Amit Haim

Algorithmic decision-making tools are changing governmental operations as machine learning models proliferate. Can agencies maintain legitimacy while relying on algorithms? This article uses a conjoint survey experiment (N=499) to test which aspects affect public perceptions of legitimacy. We find positive effects from communicating the algorithmic procedure: notice about algorithm use, human involvement, decision explanation, and hearing by request. Respondents view algorithms in criminal justice as less fair than other domains but not less efficient.

Criminal Justice and Behavior · 2025

The Effect of Causal Attribution on Recidivism Beliefs and Racial Perceptions

Dvir Yogev

Assessing whether an individual poses a risk to society is routine throughout the criminal legal system. Across two experiments (N=1005 and N=276), I examine how a parole candidate's choice to attribute their crime to dispositional or situational factors affects perceptions of dangerousness and racial classification. Situational attribution increased perceptions of dangerousness when participants did not accept the account as valid. Moreover, attributing crime to situation/environment predicted perceiving the candidate as a person of color.

📰 Other Publications

Los Angeles Times · 2025

Voters Want Both 'Tough on Crime' and Compassionate Reform

Dvir Yogev

Op-ed discussing the nuanced public attitudes toward criminal justice policy.

Edward Elgar Publishing

Comparative Criminology in Algorithmic Times

Dvir Yogev & Yoav Mehozay

Book chapter in Research Handbook of Comparative Criminal Justice.

Law & Society Review · 2022

The Behavioral Code: The Hidden Ways the Law Makes Us Better or Worse [Book Review]

Dvir Yogev

📝 Working Papers

Under Review

The Effect of DA Elections on Police Behavior

Dvir Yogev & Anna Kyriazis

What is the effect of political struggle between a district attorney and police department on public safety? Using the San Francisco DA recall, we estimate the effect of police taking sides in a political campaign. We show sharp changes in jail population after the recall, attributed to changes in police behavior: increased crime reports, police stops, and arrests.

Under Review

Using AI to Study Discretionary Parole

Dvir Yogev

Book chapter examining the application of artificial intelligence methods to analyze discretionary parole decisions.

In Progress

Criminal Justice in A Direct Democracy – Carceral State-Building in California

🏆 Western Society of Criminology, Miki Vohryzek-Bolden Paper Award (2021)
In Progress

Incumbency Advantage in Prosecutor Elections

In Progress

The Effect of Prosecutor Ideology on Jail Incarceration

In Progress

Police as Political Actors

In Progress

Progressiveness as a Political Label

In Progress

Identifying Media Bias using Computational Methods